Predicting the Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa: The Case of Namibia - Sorbonne Université
Article Dans Une Revue Journal of travel medicine Année : 2022

Predicting the Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa: The Case of Namibia

Résumé

SARS-CoV-2 transmission models have been fairly inaccurate in their predictions for Africa. Here, based on an analysis of surveillance data from Namibia, we conclude that it is necessary to include spatial demography, and travel, in SARS-CoV-2 transmission models in order to make more accurate predictions for COVID-19 epidemics in Africa.

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Sciences du Vivant [q-bio]

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https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-03863408

Soumis le : lundi 21 novembre 2022-14:03:03

Dernière modification le : jeudi 12 décembre 2024-03:45:50

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hal-03863408 , version 1 (21-11-2022)

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Justin T Okano, Eugenio Valdano, Honore K Mitonga, Sally Blower. Predicting the Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa: The Case of Namibia. Journal of travel medicine, 2022, 29 (3), pp.taac034. ⟨10.1093/jtm/taac034⟩. ⟨hal-03863408⟩

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